Southeastern Louisiana

Conference:	Slnd
Expected RPI:	150.0
Current RPI:	150
Expected SOS:	303
Current SOS:	303
Current Record:	19-11
Expected Record:	19-11
Current Conf Record:	16-4
Expected Conf Record:	16-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	15-5
Current OOC Record:	3-7
Expected OOC Record:	3-7
Expected OOC RPI:	235
Expected OOC SOS:	243

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
19-11	150.0	100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southeastern Louisiana.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Location	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)
11-13	Tulane (175.0)	Amer	A	89-66	L	0%
11-16	Louisiana Monroe (219.0)	SB	A	86-75	L	0%
11-19	Valparaiso (188.0)	MVC	A	83-50	L	0%
11-21	Kent St. (154.0)	MAC	A	66-70	W	100%
11-24	Samford (296.0)	SC	A	71-77	W	100%
11-25	Mississippi Valley St. (349.0)	SWAC	N	73-59	W	100%
12-12	UCF (84.0)	Amer	A	61-53	L	0%
12-16	Grambling St. (249.0)	SWAC	H	67-68	L	0%
12-19	Louisiana Lafayette (63.0)	SB	A	82-74	L	0%
12-21	Notre Dame (70.0)	ACC	A	86-50	L	0%
12-28	Stephen F. Austin (104.0)	Slnd	H	73-62	W	100%
12-31	Central Arkansas (223.0)	Slnd	A	69-73	W	100%
1-6	Abilene Christian (260.0)	Slnd	A	70-72	W	100%
1-10	Lamar (230.0)	Slnd	A	58-63	W	100%
1-13	McNeese St. (297.0)	Slnd	H	62-71	L	0%
1-17	Houston Baptist (345.0)	Slnd	H	85-69	W	100%
1-20	Northwestern St. (342.0)	Slnd	H	85-58	W	100%
1-24	Sam Houston St. (206.0)	Slnd	A	75-65	L	0%
1-27	Nicholls St. (145.0)	Slnd	A	63-67	W	100%
1-31	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (326.0)	Slnd	H	54-67	L	0%
2-3	Central Arkansas (223.0)	Slnd	H	89-84	W	100%
2-7	Incarnate Word (347.0)	Slnd	A	68-86	W	100%
2-10	McNeese St. (297.0)	Slnd	A	67-74	W	100%
2-14	New Orleans (239.0)	Slnd	H	71-64	W	100%
2-17	Abilene Christian (260.0)	Slnd	H	68-54	W	100%
2-24	Northwestern St. (342.0)	Slnd	A	62-86	W	100%
2-28	New Orleans (239.0)	Slnd	A	64-68	W	100%
3-3	Nicholls St. (145.0)	Slnd	H	69-57	W	100%
3-9	Sam Houston St. (206.0)	Slnd	N	89-79	W	100%
3-10	Stephen F. Austin (104.0)	Slnd	N	55-59	L	0%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Southeastern Louisiana's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Southeastern Louisiana's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Southeastern Louisiana.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Impact	Exp Impact
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	26.35	26.35	68.24	68.24	9.62	9.62
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	4.33	4.33	82.14	82.14	2.78	2.78
Central Arkansas	Slnd	4.27	4.27	53.33	53.33	0.28	0.28
Nicholls St.	Slnd	4.26	4.26	65.38	65.38	1.31	1.31
New Orleans	Slnd	4.26	4.26	46.15	46.15	-0.33	-0.33
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	4.20	4.20	51.85	51.85	0.16	0.16
Northwestern St.	Slnd	4.20	4.20	8.70	8.70	-3.47	-3.47
McNeese St.	Slnd	4.14	4.14	30.43	30.43	-1.62	-1.62
Abilene Christian	Slnd	4.11	4.11	48.00	48.00	-0.16	-0.16
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	2.57	2.57	28.00	28.00	-1.13	-1.13
Lamar	Slnd	2.57	2.57	55.56	55.56	0.29	0.29
Houston Baptist	Slnd	2.52	2.52	11.11	11.11	-1.96	-1.96
Incarnate Word	Slnd	2.51	2.51	13.04	13.04	-1.85	-1.85
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	1.91	1.91	80.00	80.00	1.15	1.15
Louisiana Monroe	SB	1.87	1.87	44.44	44.44	-0.21	-0.21
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.78	1.78	12.90	12.90	-1.32	-1.32
Tulane	Amer	1.75	1.75	43.33	43.33	-0.23	-0.23
Grambling St.	SWAC	1.75	1.75	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Kent St.	MAC	1.72	1.72	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	1.72	1.72	27.59	27.59	-0.77	-0.77
Valparaiso	MVC	1.72	1.72	41.38	41.38	-0.30	-0.30
UCF	Amer	1.69	1.69	58.06	58.06	0.27	0.27
Notre Dame	ACC	1.67	1.67	56.25	56.25	0.21	0.21
Little Rock	SB	0.27	0.27	20.00	20.00	-0.16	-0.16
Houston	Amer	0.27	0.27	78.79	78.79	0.15	0.15
Texas St.	SB	0.26	0.26	41.94	41.94	-0.04	-0.04
SMU	Amer	0.26	0.26	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.20	0.20	30.00	30.00	-0.08	-0.08
South Alabama	SB	0.20	0.20	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Memphis	Amer	0.19	0.19	61.76	61.76	0.05	0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.19	0.19	25.00	25.00	-0.09	-0.09
LSU	SEC	0.17	0.17	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	Amer	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.16	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
UT Rio Grande Valley	WAC	0.15	0.15	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.14	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
UT Arlington	SB	0.14	0.14	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.14	0.14	33.33	33.33	-0.05	-0.05
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.14	0.14	9.68	9.68	-0.11	-0.11
Loyola Chicago	MVC	0.13	0.13	84.38	84.38	0.09	0.09
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
East Carolina	Amer	0.13	0.13	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Temple	Amer	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.13	0.13	58.06	58.06	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.12	0.12	68.97	68.97	0.05	0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.12	0.12	17.24	17.24	-0.08	-0.08
Pittsburgh	ACC	0.12	0.12	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Idaho	BSky	0.12	0.12	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.12	0.12	37.50	37.50	-0.03	-0.03
Coastal Carolina	SB	0.12	0.12	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.11	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.11	44.12	44.12	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	Amer	0.11	0.11	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Wichita St.	Amer	0.10	0.10	78.12	78.12	0.06	0.06
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
North Texas	CUSA	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Utah	P12	0.09	0.09	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Seattle	WAC	0.09	0.09	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SB	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.09	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.09	0.09	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.09	0.09	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	SB	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	CUSA	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	SC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Missouri	SEC	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Cincinnati	Amer	0.08	0.08	88.24	88.24	0.06	0.06
Connecticut	Amer	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	40.62	40.62	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.08	0.08	71.43	71.43	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
North Carolina Central	MEAC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.07	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
UTEP	CUSA	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
UTSA	CUSA	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	BSth	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
USC Upstate	ASun	0.06	0.06	10.71	10.71	-0.05	-0.05
Oakland	Horz	0.06	0.06	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
UMBC	AE	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.06	88.24	88.24	0.05	0.05
Western Kentucky	CUSA	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	CAA	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Utah Valley	WAC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SB	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.06	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	SC	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.06	24.24	24.24	-0.03	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	BSth	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
UNC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
VMI	SC	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	87.88	87.88	0.04	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Grand Canyon	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Utah St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
California	P12	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon	P12	0.05	0.05	64.71	64.71	0.02	0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
UCLA	P12	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	88.24	88.24	0.03	0.03
UMKC	WAC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Belmont	OVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	WAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	20.00	20.00	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Saint Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
TCU	B12	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	37.50	37.50	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	82.35	82.35	0.02	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	Sum	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
UNC Wilmington	CAA	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
VCU	A10	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
LIU Brooklyn	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	37.50	37.50	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
BYU	WCC	0.03	0.03	70.59	70.59	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B10	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
UNLV	MWC	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	B12	0.03	0.03	70.59	70.59	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	32.35	32.35	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Louisville	ACC	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P12	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	ACC	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	93.94	93.94	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Xavier	BE	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	20.00	20.00	-0.02	-0.02